Corante

About this Author
Derek Lowe
Derek Lowe, an Arkansan by birth, got his BA from Hendrix College and his PhD in organic chemistry from Duke before spending time in Germany on a Humboldt Fellowship on his post-doc. He's worked for several major pharmaceutical companies since 1989 on drug discovery projects against schizophrenia, Alzheimer's, diabetes, osteoporosis and other diseases. To contact Derek email him directly: derekb.lowe@gmail.com Twitter: Dereklowe

Chemistry and Drug Data: Drugbank
Emolecules
ChemSpider
Chempedia Lab
Synthetic Pages
Organic Chemistry Portal
PubChem
Not Voodoo
DailyMed
Druglib
Clinicaltrials.gov

Chemistry and Pharma Blogs:
Org Prep Daily
The Haystack
MedChem Buzz
Kilomentor
On Pharma
A New Merck, Reviewed
Liberal Arts Chemistry
One in Ten Thousand
Electron Pusher
Periodic Tabloid
All Things Metathesis
C&E News Blog
Propter Doc
Chemiotics II
The Chemical Notebook
Chemical Space
Noel O'Blog
In Vivo Blog
Terra Sigilatta
Chirality
BBSRC/Douglas Kell
ChemBark
Drug Discovery Opinion
Realizations in Biostatistics
Chemjobber
Pharmalot
WSJ Health Blog
ChemSpider Blog
Pharmagossip
Med-Chemist
Organic Chem - Education & Industry
Useful Chemistry
Chiral Jones
Pharma Strategy Blog
No Name No Slogan
Practical Fragments
SimBioSys
The Curious Wavefunction
Natural Product Man
Totally Synthetic
Fragment Literature
The F- Blog
Chemistry World Blog
Synthetic Nature
Chemistry Blog
Synthesizing Ideas
Carbon-Based Curiosities
Experimental Error
Business|Bytes|Genes|Molecules
Eye on FDA
Sigma-Aldrich ChemBlogs
Chemical Forums
Depth-First
Symyx Blog
P212121
ChemCafe
Sceptical Chymist
Lamentations on Chemistry
Computational Organic Chemistry
Mining Drugs
Henry Rzepa


Science Blogs and News:
Bad Science
The Loom
Uncertain Principles
Fierce Biotech
Blogs for Industry
Omics! Omics!
Young Female Scientist
Notional Slurry
Nobel Intent
SciTech Daily
Science Blog
FuturePundit
Aetiology
Gene Expression (I)
Gene Expression (II)
Sciencebase
Pharyngula
Adventures in Ethics and Science
Transterrestrial Musings
Slashdot Science
A Scientist's Life
Speculist
Cosmic Variance
The Capsule
Zeroth Order Approximation
Biology News Net


Medical Blogs
Med Tech Sentinel
DB's Medical Rants
Science-Based Medicine
GruntDoc
The Health Care Blog
Respectful Insolence
Black Triangle
Diabetes Mine


Economics and Business
Marginal Revolution
Arnold Kling
The Volokh Conspiracy
Knowledge Problem
The Stalwart


Politics / Current Events
Virginia Postrel
Tinkerty Tonk
Instapundit
Megan McArdle
Mickey Kaus
Colby Cosh
Alien Corn
No Watermelons


Belles Lettres
Two Blowhards
Critical Mass
Arts and Letters Daily
God of the Machine
Armavirumque
About Last Night
In the Pipeline: Don't miss Derek Lowe's excellent commentary on drug discovery and the pharma industry in general at In the Pipeline

In the Pipeline

« Imclone's Secret Admirer | Main | Why Don't You Just. . . »

September 26, 2008

Prasugrel Today?

Email This Entry

Posted by Derek

I wrote back in the summer about the FDA's delayed decision on Lilly's potential anticoagulant blockbuster Effient (prasugrel). Well, those three months have zipped right by, and the agency is supposed to rule today.

Prediction, for what it's worth: I think the drug will be approved, but with label restrictions for the group(s) that seemed to respond best to it in trials - who may have been. at least partly, the groups that could put up with the associated bleeding the best, too. So no elderly patients, no low-weight ones, and no one with a history of stroke or TIA. That'll cut down the market for the drug, definitely, but not as much as if it doesn't get approved at all, right? I think the FDA will require Lilly to keep a careful eye on how Prasugrel performs in the real world while they wait on the results of the next trial to come in, with a possible label-language change to come at that point.

I'll give that option about a 70% chance. The 30% chance is that they delay things yet again, since the agency has been in a delaying risk-averse mood these days. We'll know soon. This new policy of not issuing those irritating "approvable" letters has made this sort of thing rather more tense, hasn't it?

Comments (6) + TrackBacks (0) | Category: Cardiovascular Disease | Regulatory Affairs


COMMENTS

1. john g on September 26, 2008 4:36 PM writes...

Yes, I agree. My cardio-doctor told me he is not prescribing due to trials reporting bleeding...anywhere in body...or in brain.

Stay with Plavix. He is high prescribing cadio in NY.

JG

Permalink to Comment

2. vasili on September 26, 2008 4:40 PM writes...

http://www.pharmalot.com/2008/09/the-clot-thickens-fda-delays-lilly-blood-thinner-2/#more-15995

It seems the FDA has delayed the decision again.

Permalink to Comment

3. sourgrapes on September 26, 2008 7:10 PM writes...

Another big pharma that turned you down after SP dumped you?

Permalink to Comment

4. vasili on September 27, 2008 1:41 AM writes...

John G: the use of a more effective antithrombotic agent is associated with a raised risk of bleeding. Plavix has also its own risk but it less efficient.
All in all is a question of dose, multiple dosing tablets may be required depending on patient weight.

But that Prasugrel is more potent, can reduce the number of heart attacks and will be approved, is for sure.

Permalink to Comment

5. pharmagossip on September 29, 2008 10:49 AM writes...

The chief operating officer of Bristol-Myers Squibb said Eli Lilly's rival Effient blood clot preventer will be a "niche" product if approved as the TRITON study found it either harmed or offered no benefit to three types of patients.

Permalink to Comment

6. Syed Raza on October 27, 2008 5:06 AM writes...

Is there a need for another anti-platelet? More potent is not always more safe.There are always two sides of the coin.

Permalink to Comment

POST A COMMENT




Remember Me?



EMAIL THIS ENTRY TO A FRIEND

Email this entry to:

Your email address:

Message (optional):




RELATED ENTRIES
Academia and Industry, Suing Each Other
Let's Start Off the Meeting With An Ad, OK?
The Academic-Industrial Collaboration in Drug Discovery Panel: Today
Glass Structure, Atom by Atom
How the Andrulis Paper Got Published
AstraZeneca in Waltham
Fluorine NMR: Why Not?
AstraZeneca Layoffs and Closings